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Belgische federale verkiezingen 2019
Federale verkiezingen 2019 | |||||||
Bestand:2007 federal elections Belgium 13.jpg | |||||||
Datum | 2019 | ||||||
Land | België | ||||||
Te verdelen zetels | 150 | ||||||
Vorige regering | Michel | ||||||
Opvolging verkiezingen | |||||||
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De volgende federale verkiezingen in België worden in mei of juni van 2019 gehouden, op dezelfde dag als de Europese verkiezingen van 2019 en de verkiezingen voor de deelstaten, tenzij er vervroegde verkiezingen zouden gehouden worden. Op deze dag worden alle 150 leden van de Kamer van Volksvertegenwoordigers verkozen. België wordt daartoe ingedeeld in elf kieskringen: één per provincie en een kieskring Brussel-Hoofdstad.
Kieskringen
De verkiezingen voor de Kamer van Volksvertegenwoordigers zullen in principe plaatsvinden in dezelfde 11 kieskringen als de vorige verkiezingen:[1]
- Antwerpen: 24 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Brussel-Hoofdstad: 15 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Henegouwen: 18 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Limburg: 12 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Luik: 15 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Luxemburg: 4 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Namen: 6 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Oost-Vlaanderen: 20 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Vlaams-Brabant: 15 volksvertegenwoordigers
- Waals-Brabant: 5 volksvertegenwoordigers
- West-Vlaanderen: 16 volksvertegenwoordigers
Peilingen
Peilingen worden in België opgedeeld in de drie gewesten. De resultaten worden daarom in de tabellen hieronder ook opgedeeld per gewest, maar de zetelverdelingen voor de Kamer staan in één tabel.
Vlaanderen
De grafiek en de tabel hieronder tonen de resultaten voor de peilingen uitgevoerd in het Vlaamse Gewest, en de delen van de nationale peilingen uitgevoerd in het Vlaamse Gewest. De verkiezingsuitresultaten werden in de grafiek aangegeven met vierkantjes, peilingesresultaten met sterretjes, terwijl de lijn een vlottende gemiddelde aangeeft over een venster van plus/min drie maanden.
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Newspaper | Sample size | N-VA | CD&V | Open Vld |
sp.a | Groen | Vlaams Belang |
PVDA | Others | Lead | Sjabloon:H:title | Sjabloon:H:title | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Sjabloon:New Flemish Alliance/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Christian Democratic and Flemish/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party Differently/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Green!/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Flemish Interest/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Workers' Party (Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | |||||||||
2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [2][3] | 1,002 | 25.2% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 9.6% | 54.8% | 38.0% | 16.8% |
6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[4] | 1,045 | 24.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 51.2% | 40.6% | 10.6% | |
31 March–4 April | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[5][6] | 975 | 25.6% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 57.2% | 37.0% | 20.2% | ||
22 February–9 March 2016 | TNS Media | VRT / De Standaard[7] | 1,005 | 27.3% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 60.5% | 34.4% | 26.1% | |
15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[8] | 1,043 | 28.5% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 12.5% | 57.0% | 37.1% | 19.9% | |
3–7 December 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[9] | 990 | 29.2% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 56.8% | 37.6% | 19.2% | ||
28 September–4 October 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[10] | 1,030 | 28.8% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 59.1% | 34.0% | 25.1% | |
22 September–2 October 2015 | TNS Media | VRT / De Standaard[11] | 1,019 | 31.1% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 12.7% | 64.4% | 30.7% | 33.7% | |
9–14 September 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[12] | 745 | 27.5% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 11.3% | 57.9% | 36.0% | 21.9% | |
12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[12] | 761 | 28.1% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 10.9% | 60.7% | 33.5% | 27.2% | |
20 April–3 May 2015 | TNS Media | VRT / De Standaard | 1,032 | 28.5% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 7.3% | 65.8% | 31.7% | 34.1% | |
20–24 April 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws | 963 | 28.3% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 12.5% | 58.1% | 34.3% | 23.8% | |
5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | 691 | 28.8% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 12.1% | 60.9% | 33.4% | 27.5% |
23–28 January 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[14] | 1,035 | 30.2% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 13.1% | 62.2% | 32.5% | 29.7% | |
5–11 January 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[14] | 1,043 | 27.8% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 60.4% | 32.9% | 27.5% | |
4–5 December 2014 | AQ Rate | Het Laatste Nieuws | 794 | 28% | 17% | 12% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 11% | 57% | 36% | 21% | |
27 November–1 December 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | 773 | 30.9% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 12.7% | 62.4% | 31.1% | 31.3% |
9–10 October 2014 | AQ Rate | Het Laatste Nieuws | 801 | 30% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 12% | 60% | 35% | 25% | |
22 September–3 October 2014 | TNS Media | De Standaard / VRT | 1,023 | 29.9% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 9.9% | 64.3% | 32.0% | 32.3% | |
5–9 September 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | 792 | 31.9% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 14.2% | 65.0% | 30.1% | 34.9% |
July 2014 | AQ Rate | Het Laatste Nieuws | 880 | 32.9% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 15.2% | 66.0% | 29.4% | 36.6% | |
June 2014 | AQ Rate | Het Laatste Nieuws | 38.4% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 22.9% | 67.7% | 26.1% | 41.6% | ||
25 May 2014 | Federal election | 32.4% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 13.9% | 66.5% | 28.4% | 38.1% |
Wallonia
The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Walloon Region, and for polls conducted nation-wide the part of the results related to the Walloon Region. In the graph, the squares mark the election results, the stars the individual opinion poll results, and the trend line the floating average for the opinion poll results with a window of plus/minus three months.
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Newspaper | Sample size | PS | MR | cdH | Ecolo | PTB | PP | DéFI | Others | Lead | Sjabloon:H:title | Sjabloon:H:title | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Humanist Democratic Centre/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Ecolo/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Workers' Party (Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:People's Party (Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Fédéralistes Démocrates Francophones/meta/color; width:30px;"| | |||||||||
2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [2][3] | 962 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 25.6% | 23.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.4% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 2.1% | 23.5% | 69.1% | 45.6% |
6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[4] | 1,003 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 25.8% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 5.7% | 20.1% | 70.2% | 50.1% | |
31 March–4 April 2016 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[5][6] | 967 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 26.4% | 23.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 2.5% | 23.9% | 68.6% | 44.7% | |
15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[8] | 1,034 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 26.7% | 23.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 3.6% | 23.1% | 64.4% | 41.3% | |
3–7 December 2015 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[9] | 910 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 27.2% | 24.7% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 2.5% | 24.7% | 69.1% | 44.4% | |
28 September–4 October 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[10] | 1,017 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 26.0% | 23.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 2.7% | 23.3% | 63.1% | 39.8% | |
9–14 September 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[12] | 643 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 29.7% | 24.2% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 3.5% | 24.2% | 68.8% | 44.6% | |
12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique[12] | 680 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 29.7% | 25.5% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 4.2% | 25.5% | 67.9% | 42.4% | |
20–24 April 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws | 952 | 25.8% | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color;color:white;" | 26.1% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color;color:white;" | 0.3% | 26.1% | 63.7% | 37.6% | |
5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | 678 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 28.7% | 25.2% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 8.8% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 3.5% | 25.2% | 66.0% | 40.8% |
23–28 January 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[14] | 1,042 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 27.4% | 26.0% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 1.4% | 26.0% | 63.9% | 37.9% | |
5–11 January 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[14] | 1,053 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 30.1% | 25.3% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 4.8% | 25.3% | 63.8% | 38.5% | |
27 November–1 December 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | 655 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 30.1% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 6.2% | 23.9% | 67.7% | 43.8% | |
September 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | 676 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 31.0% | 26.6% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 6.3% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 4.4% | 26.6% | 67.1% | 40.5% |
25 May 2014 | Federal election | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 32.0% | 25.8% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 7.6% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 6.2% | 25.8% | 66.6% | 40.8% |
Brussels
The table below shows the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Brussels Region, and for polls conducted nation-wide the part of the results related to the Brussels Region.
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Newspaper | Sample size | PS | MR | DéFI | Ecolo | cdH | PTB-PVDA | N-VA | Open Vld |
sp.a | PP | CD&V | Groen | Vlaams Belang |
Others | Lead | Sjabloon:H:title | Sjabloon:H:title | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Francophone Democratic Federalists/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Ecolo/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Humanist Democratic Centre/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Workers' Party (Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:New Flemish Alliance/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party Differently/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:People's Party (Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Christian Democratic and Flemish/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Green!/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Flemish Interest/meta/color; width:30px;"| | |||||||||
2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated | RTBf / La Libre Belgique [2][3] | 917 | 19.8% | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color;color:white;" | 20.1% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4,5% | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color;color:white;" | 0.3% | |||
6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[4] | 505 | 17.7% | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color;color:white;" | 19.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 2.0% | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color;color:white;" | 2.0% | 28,8% | 66.7% | 37.9% | |||||||
31 March–4 April 2016 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[5][6] | 918 | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 21.1% | 20.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 0.9% | 28.7% | 63.6% | 34.9% | ||
15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[8] | 537 | 18.2% | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color;color:white;" | 20.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color;color:white;" | 2.5% | |||||||||
October 2015 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws | |||||||||||||||||||
5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | 907 | ||||||||||||||||||
November 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | |||||||||||||||||||
September 2014 | Dedicated | RTBF / La Libre Belgique[13] | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 23.9% | 23.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 0.2% | 32.1% | 66.3% | 34.2% | ||
25 May 2014 | Federal election | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 25.6% | 21.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 5.9% | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color;color:white;" | 3.7% | 28.8% | 65.2% | 36.4% |
Seat Projections
The table below shows seat projections for the Belgian Chamber when given by the reporting newspaper or polling firm.
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Newspaper | N-VA | CD&V | Open Vld |
MR | sp.a | Groen | Vlaams Belang |
PVDA/PTB | PS | cdH | Ecolo | PP | FDF | Others | Lead | Sjabloon:H:title | Sjabloon:H:title | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Sjabloon:New Flemish Alliance/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Christian Democratic and Flemish/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Reformist Movement/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party Differently/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Green!/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Flemish Interest/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Workers' Party (Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Socialist Party (francophone Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Humanist Democratic Centre/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Ecolo/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:People's Party (Belgium)/meta/color; width:30px;"| | style="background:Sjabloon:Francophone Democratic Federalists/meta/color; width:30px;"| | ||||||||
6-12 May 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[4] | 24 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 64 | 86 | 21 |
15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos | RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws[8] | 28 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 73 | 77 | 4 |
25 May 2014 | Federal election | 33 | 18 | 14 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 85 | 65 | 20 |
Verkiezingen in België |
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